The Columbus Dispatch has released its first polls assessing public sentiment for/against the issues on the ballot in November, including the four RON amendments. Comments about the Dispatch's mail survey methodology notwithstanding, here are the results...
Issue 2, which would permit voters to cast ballots by mail or in person up to 35 days before an election without stating a reason, enjoys substantial support. 68% are in favor, 25% are opposed, 7% are undecided.
Issue 3, which would revise limits on political contributions made by individuals, political-action committes and political parties, including reducing the maximum amount an individual could give to a statewide candidate from $10K to $2K, enjoys overwhelming support. 70% are in favor, 15% are opposed, and 15% are undecided. It should be noted that the contribution limits were raised late last year, when Governor Taft called a special session of the legislature while the rest of the world was on Christmas vacation. The public comment on the higher limits was overwhelmingly negative, but the GOP-dominated legislature passed it anyway.
So far, so good.
Issue 4, which would create a five-member independent commission to draw new congressional and state legislative districts after each census, is not faring as well. 38% are opposed, 26% are in favor, and 36% are undecided. This may be the most important of RON's four proposals, and is also probably the most complex. (Just try to explain gerrymandering to the typical voter.) Both supporters and opponents of this issue plan to step up their efforts. With over a third of the voters undecided about this measure, the matter is still far from decided. Support for Issue 4 varies with political affiliation - Democrats support it by 35-28, nonaffiliated voters oppose it by 37-25, and Republicans oppose it by 49-19. Other demographic variables - sex, income, religion, etc. - have little impact on support for this issue.
Issue 5, which would remove responsibility for election oversight from the secretary of state and place it in the hands of an appointed nine-member bipartisan board, enjoys a narrow lead. 42% are in favor, 37% are opposed, and 20% are undecided.
http://www.dispatch.com/news-story.php?story=dispatch/2005/10/01/20051001-A1-02.html&chck=t
There was no attempt to force political balance, just to make geographic sense. Counties were split into no more than two districts.
Writer Dan Williamson strongly supports RON's plan to create a bipartisan panel to draw legislative districts after each census. It's hard to argue with this one. Williamson also backs, albeit less enthusiastically, a proposal to allow voting by mail or in person up to 35 days before the scheduled date of the election.
But Williamson also questions the wisdom of RON's other two amendments. Williamson believes the amendment to reduce limits on campaign contributions to the levels in place before they were raised in an emergency session over the Christmas holiday has no place in the state constitution, and should be sorted out in the legislature. [If the legislature wasn't dominated by the Grand Old Party of Corruption - a result of the GOP's control of the redistricting process - I could more easily see Williamson's point.]
More interestingly, Williamson questioned the need for an independent election-oversight panel. In Ohio, as in most (all?) other states, the secretary of state has that job. Ohio's SOS is the nefarious Ken Blackwell. While one can argue that Ohio doesn't have a problem with the secretary of state's job description as much as it has a problem with Blackwell's partisan abuse of his office, there is no guarantee that future secretaries of state - of either party - will be any less partisan. Williamson also points out that the amendment would create a new bureaucracy while leaving an old one intact.
Finally, Williamson expresses concern that RON may have hurt the chances of the redistricting amendment (and the vote by mail amendment) by bundling them with two weaker amendments. RON's opponents can attack the weaker amendments, which may hurt the stronger amendments by association. It is possible that the public may be confused by the number of amendments (and the amount of language that will appear on the ballot) and may vote against all the amendments. Of course, in the present atmosphere, it is also possible that the voters will approve anything that resembles a reform measure.
So, has RON overreached in its effort to reform elections in the Buckeye State?
Though the deadline to turn in petitions is five days away, [former Ohio senate president Richard] Finan asked the Ohio Supreme Court to prevent Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell from accepting petition forms filed by Reform Ohio Now. Citing an 86-year-old Supreme Court case, he says the documents are invalid because they fail to outline the current constitutional language that would be deleted if the amendments are approved.
http://www.dispatch.com/news-story.php?story=dispatch/2005/07/16/20050716-A1-00.html
The proposals were crafted by the former chairman of the Ohio Democratic Party, a former state Supreme Court justice (GOP), the president of the Ohio Civil Service Employees Association, and anemeritus political science professor at Ohio State University.
Assuming the proposals pass legal muster, over 320,000 signatures must be obtained by August 10 to place the issues on the ballot. A number of nonprofit and nonpartisan organizations will support the petition drive.
More details below the fold. Yes, I realize the article is a week old...
According to The Other Paper...
The following passages are excerpted from Marcus Borg's Palm Sunday sermon at St. Andrew United Methodist Church in Centennial, Colorado, a few weeks ago.
[See sermon library, 2005, March 20.]
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